ZioNation - Progressive Zionism and Israel Web Log

ZioNation home Archives Site map Policy Definitions FAQ timeline history documents Links Photos Contact

Articles and Reference

History of Zionism and Israel
Zionism
Middle East Encyclopedia
History of Anti-Semitism
History of Anti-Zionism
Encylopedic Dictionary of Zionism and Israel
Zionism and its Impact
Zionism - Issues & answers
Maps of Israel
Six Day War
War of Independence
Bible
Bible  Quotes
1948 Israel War of Independence Timeline Christian Zionism
Christian Zionism History
Gaza & the Qassam Victims of Sderot
Zionist Quotes
Learn Hebrew
Jew
Anti-Semitism
Pogrom
Israel
Zionists
Israel Boycott?
Boycott Israel?
Palestinian Campaign for the Academic and Cultural Boycott of Israel
Jew Hate
International Zionism
Commentary in Russian
Middle East
The Grand Mufti Hajj Amin Al Husseini
Albert Einstein
Palestine: Ethnic Cleansing
History Arab-Israeli Conflict
Boycott Israel?
Amnesty International Report on Gaza War


FREE EMAIL SUBSCRIPTION
Subscribe to
ZNN
email newsletter for this site and others

Powered by groups.yahoo.com

Recent reports claim that the United States is preparing for a war in Iran. A report in the Sunday Telegraph gives a large number of details, some or all of which may be quite imaginative, and not all of which are coherent. Vice President Richard Cheney is cast as the bad guy in the piece, with a reluctant Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice willing to go along with it. The motive for the attack is given variously as the Iran nuclear program, Iranian support for Shi'a insurgents in Iraq and of course, the Jewish conspiracy.

The Telegraph story, for example, states:

In a chilling scenario of how war might come, a senior intelligence officer warned that public denunciation of Iranian meddling in Iraq - arming and training militants - would lead to cross border raids on Iranian training camps and bomb factories.


But the report also states:


Senior officials believe Mr Bush's inner circle has decided he does not want to leave office without first ensuring that Iran is not capable of developing a nuclear weapon.


Which is the motive, Iraq or nuclear weapons? It is possible that the one is a foil for the other, or that both are motives. It would not be the first time that motives for major policy moves are unclear. On the other hand, it could all be bumph.

When a "leak" of this type occurs, we have to ask 1. Is it true? and 2. Who benefits from the leak? There are many possibilities, such as:

A. Story is true - Anything is possible, and given the U.S. military buildup in the Gulf, we cannot rule out the possibility that a war is in the offing. On the other hand, given Iranian military bluster, we cannot rule out the possibility that the US buildup is defensive.

B. Story is false, leak was originated by the government - The US has no real intention of invading Iran, but it does want to create the impression that this is an option, in order to discourage Iranian trouble-making in Iraq, and in order to spur tougher stands on sanctions against Iran by China and Russia. France has now moved into the anti-Iran column and is no longer to be reckoned among the protectors of Iran.

C. Story is false, leak was originated by disaffected US officials, or creative journalists - The Iran lobby has been diligently building the story that the U.S. has no cause for a quarrel with Iran, and that only evil Zionists and neoconservatives are pushing for a war with no cause.

The third explanation is bolstered by some of the quotes in the Sunday Telegraph story, and especially this one:

In a chilling scenario of how war might come, a senior intelligence officer warned that public denunciation of Iranian meddling in Iraq - arming and training militants - would lead to cross border raids on Iranian training camps and bomb factories.

In an ingenious way, the quote discredits in advance any attempt by the US to counter Iranian activity in Iraq. If Iran is really interfering in the Iraq war, then the US has every right to take steps against it. But in the light of this quote, any attempt to move against Iran would be interpreted as a provocation intended to start a war. The story itself was not reported by the Telegraph with professional neutrality, since the headline is "Bush setting America up for war with Iran."

The idea that the US is planning a war against Iran that would not be justified by circumstances, is "setting it up," is unlikely. Such a war would be extremely risky and probably would not achieve its objectives. The objectives of such a war would or should be to put an end to the Iran nuclear development program, to stop Iranian pretensions to "hegemony." and to end Iranian meddling in Iraq, Lebanon and Palestine. An operation that failed would leave the bellicose faction in charge in Iran, and bolstered by a new "victory" over the U.S. -- a scenario the U.S. cannot afford. The only way to ensure that this is not the result is to be prepared for a land invasion, but the US is certainly not prepared for a land invasion, which would require well over a million soldiers to be successful. The only operation that is rumored to be on the drawing boards is an air-strike. An air-strike, even a big one, is not likely to wipe out the hardened underground bunkers where Iran's nuclear capabilities are being developed. It would certainly turn Iran into an angry elephant, and with no ground troops to stop them, the Iranians could do a lot of damage.

As for the Zionists, those anti-Zionists and Zionists as well who fantasize about such an attack and think it is in Israel's interests should think again. A U.S. failure in Iran, following the disaster in Iraq, would be very bad for the U.S. It would be catastrophic for Israel.

Ami Isseroff


Original content is Copyright by the author 2007. Posted at ZioNation-Zionism and Israel Web Log, http://www.zionism-israel.com/log/archives/00000420.html where your intelligent and constructive comments are welcome. Disributed by ZNN list. Subscribe by sending a message to ZNN-subscribe@yahoogroups.com. Please forward by e-mail with this notice, cite this article and link to it. Other uses by permission only.

Click to Reddit! Facebook Share

add to del.icio.us

Add to digg - digg it

Constructive comments, including corrections, are welcome. Do not use this space for spam, publishing articles, self promotion, racism, anti-Zionist propaganda or character defamation. Inappropriate comments will be deleted. See our Comment policy for details. By posting here, you agree to the Comment policy.

Home
Archives

Please take our reader survey!

Links
Our Sites

Zionism
Zionism News Net
Zionism-Israel Pages
Brave Zionism
IsraŽl-Palestina.Info (Dutch & English)
Our Blogs
Israel News
IMO Blog - IsraŽl & Midden-Oosten (NL)
Israel Like this, as if
Zionism News Net
Israel & Palestijnen Nieuws Blog
IsraŽl in de Media


Blog Roll:
Adam Holland
Blue Truth
CIF Watch
Contentious Centrist
Dutchblog Israel (NL/EN)
Harry's Place
Ignoble Experiment
Irene Lancaster's Diary
Israeli-Palestinian Conflict
Israpundit
Jeff Weintraub Commentaries and controversies
Jewish Issues Watchdog Meretz USA Weblog
Meryl Yourish
Middle East Analysis
MidEastWeb Middle East Web Log
Modernity Blog
normblog
Pro Israel Bay Bloggers
Point of no return
Simply Jews
Solomonia
Something Something
Tempting Topical Topics
The Augean Stables
Unplugged Mike
Oy Bay! San Francisco Bay Area Jews
Vital Perspective
Israel Mon Amour
Liberty & Justice
On the Contrary
Magdeburger Chossid
Tulip - Israeli-Palestinian Trade Union Assoc.
Southern Wolf
Sharona's Week
Sanda & Israel
Fresno Zionism
Anti-Racist Blog
UN-Biased
ZOTW's Zionism and Israel News
Zionism On The Web News
ZOTW's Blogs
Christian Attitudes
Dr Ginosar Recalls
Questions: Zionism anti-Zionism Israel & Palestine
Liberal for Israel

A Jew with a view
BlueTruth
Realistic Dove
Christians Standing With Israel - Blog
Liberticracia
SEO for Everyone
Vision to Reality: The Reut Blog
Calev's Blog
Candidly speaking from Jerusalem
Dvar Dea
Ray Cook
Shimshon 9

Mark Halawa


This link space is 4 your blog - contact us!

Other Web sites and pages:

PeaceWatch Middle East Commentary Christians Standing With Israel
Zionism On the Web
Guide to Middle East, Zionism
Z-Word
Z-Word blog
Labor Zionism
Le Grand Mufti Husseini
The Grand Mufti Hajj Amin El Husseini
ZNN - Zionism News Network Middle East
Euston Manifesto
Jewish Blogging
Peace With Realism
Israel Facts (NL)
Space Shuttle Blog
SEO
Mysterology
Love Poems
At Zionism On the Web
Articles on Zionism
Anti-Zionism Information Center
Academic boycott of Israel Resource Center
The anti-Israel Hackers
Antisemitism Information Center
Zionism Israel and Apartheid
Middle East, Peace and War
The Palestine state
ZOTW Expert Search
ZOTW Forum



Judaica

Judaica: Jewish Gifts:
Shofar
Mezuzah



RSS V 1.0


RSS V 2.0


Help us improve - Please click here to take our reader survey

All entries copyright by the authors and or Zionism-Israel Information Center. Please forward materials by e-mail with URLS. Other uses by permission only.

security