e-Zion Israel News  Israel Elections: Opinion Survey Poll Results

Poll:  Kadima 35-39 Labor 18-21 Likud 15-17
Aaron Lerner     Date: 17 March 2006

1. Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis (including  Arab Israelis) carried out by Maagar Mohot ("Brain Trust") for Makor Rishon  on 16 March 2006 - published on 17 March.

2. Telephone poll of a representative sample of 501 adult Israelis (including Arab Israelis) carried out by the Smith Institute for The
Jerusalem Post on 15 March 2006 - the day after the murderers of Minister  Ze'evi were captured. Published on 17 March

3. Telephone poll of a representative sample of 513 adult Israelis (including Arab Israelis) carried out by Maagar Mohot ("Brain Trust") for Israel Radio's "Its all Talk" on 15 March 2006 - the day after the murderers of Minister Ze'evi were captured.

Total in survey who either refused to say who they were going to vote for or claimed that they were undecided:  32% = 38 seats

4. Telephone poll of a representative sample of 500 adult Israelis (including Arab Israelis) carried out by Dahaf for Yediot Ahronot on 15 March 2006 - the day after the murderers
of Minister Ze'evi were captured. Published in Yediot Ahronot on 17 March.

5. Telephone poll of a representative sample of 500 adult Israelis (including Arab Israelis) carried out by Teleseker for Maariv on 15 March
2006 - the day after the murderers of Minister Ze'evi were captured  Published in Maariv on 17 March.

6. Telephone poll of a representative sample of adult Israelis (including Arab Israelis) carried out by Dialogue for Haaretz and Channel 10 on 14
March 2006 as the operation in Jericho was underway . Published in Haaretz
on 16 March.

[Knesset election vote expressed in mandates[current in brackets] - taking into account only the responses of people who identified a party:]
#1 #2    #3  #4 #5 #6
35 36.5 36 39 39.0 37 [00] Kadima
16 15.0 17 15 15.0 16 [40] Likud
21 18.5 21 19 20.0 20 [22] Labor
00 00.0 00 00 00.0 00 [15] Shinui (both the party and the break-away party)
10 09.5 10 11 09.5 10 [11] Shas
07 08.5 06 08 09.0 08 [08] Arab parties
05 05.5 04 04 06.0 05 [06] Yachad [Meretz]
08 09.5 09 08 08.5 08 [07* & 6] National Union & NRP
11 09.5 10 10 08.0 10 [07*] Yisrael Beiteinu [Lieberman]
07 06.0 06 06 05.0 06 [05] Yahadut Hatorah
00 00.0 01 00 00.0 00 [00] Green Leaf (legalize hashish)
* National Union & Yisrael Beiteinu together have 7 seats
** 1 seat is not enough to pass the minimum.

Maagar Mochot also asked:  Who would you prefer as prime minister: Olmert,
Netanyahu or Peretz?
Olmert 35% Netanyahu 26% Peretz 14% Other replies 25%

Dahaf also asked:
Who is most appropriate to be prime minister: Olmert,
Netanyahu or Peretz?
Olmert 35% Netanyahu 29% Peretz 16%

Do you support or oppose the second disengagement of Olmert?
Absolutely support 27% Considerably support 25%
Considerably oppose 14% Absolutely oppose 31%

What coalition partners would you prefer if Kadima forms the government?
Labor/Meretz 22% Likud/Yisrael Beiteinu 20% Likud/Shas 19% Labor/Shas 10%

What do you think caused Olmert to authorize the action in Jericho?
Elections 47% Israel's interests 49%

Teleseker also asked:

Who is the most trustworthy?
Peretz 29.8% Olmert 28.2% Netanyahu 18.2% None of them 19.4% Refuse reply
4.4%

Who is most appropriate to be finance minister?
Netanyahu 42.3% Peretz 27.1% Hirchson 12.3% All same/don't know 18.3%

Do you support or oppose the "convergence" plan that Ehud Olmert presented
Support 47.7% Oppose 45% Don't know 7.3%

If Olmert is elected will he have the political strength to carry it out? Yes 59.9% No 35% Don't know 5.2%

Percent certain they are voting by party say they are voting for: Kadima 78.8% Labor 74.8% Likud 59.4%

Dialogue also asked:
Who is most appropriate to be prime minister: Olmert,
Netanyahu or Peretz?
Olmert 27% Netanyahu 23.5 Peretz 15%

Do you support or oppose the plan the chairman of Kadima, Ehud Olmert
presented this week [AL: removal of settlements beyond the separation
fence.]
Support 33% Oppose 37% Don't know 18% Didn't hear about it 11%



Website: http://www.imra.org.il